Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.144839 0.169629 0.196908 0.229087 0.265939 0.306755 0.355311
2025-12-14 0.098781 0.130793 0.169958 0.221081 0.285702 0.364281 0.466638
2025-12-21 0.074646 0.108454 0.153227 0.216183 0.301622 0.412616 0.566622
2025-12-28 0.061664 0.096736 0.146295 0.220292 0.326554 0.471949 0.683817
2026-01-04 0.053169 0.089197 0.143053 0.227708 0.355239 0.537485 0.814069
2026-01-11 0.045968 0.082030 0.138782 0.232235 0.379186 0.597434 0.940714
2026-01-18 0.039707 0.075107 0.133564 0.234066 0.398447 0.651304 1.062093
2026-01-25 0.034406 0.068788 0.128206 0.234573 0.415024 0.701727 1.181494
2026-02-01 0.029513 0.062292 0.121498 0.231688 0.425272 0.742417 1.288141
2026-02-08 0.025236 0.056165 0.114483 0.227172 0.431873 0.777151 1.387154
2026-02-15 0.021146 0.049655 0.105783 0.218373 0.429767 0.796692 1.461852
2026-02-22 0.019966 0.048949 0.108005 0.230030 0.465173 0.882559 1.654505
2026-03-01 0.016942 0.043792 0.100861 0.223096 0.466150 0.909324 1.748814
2026-03-08 0.014350 0.039132 0.094075 0.216045 0.466203 0.934516 1.842599
2026-03-15 0.012343 0.035444 0.088784 0.211306 0.470078 0.966691 1.950962
2026-03-22 0.011239 0.033782 0.087715 0.215335 0.491799 1.033808 2.128375
2026-03-29 0.010468 0.032830 0.088126 0.222601 0.520770 1.116824 2.341212
2026-04-05 0.009604 0.031459 0.087338 0.227037 0.544099 1.190370 2.540603
2026-04-12 0.008693 0.029768 0.085516 0.228831 0.561810 1.253850 2.724330
2026-04-19 0.007826 0.028018 0.083279 0.229327 0.576599 1.312268 2.901514
2026-04-26 0.006914 0.025936 0.079859 0.226501 0.583560 1.354870 3.049384
2026-05-03 0.006054 0.023815 0.076001 0.222076 0.586335 1.388707 3.181264
2026-05-10 0.005155 0.021348 0.070782 0.213456 0.578305 1.398623 3.263726